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The international currency market FOREX appeared at the early 70th of the XX century as a result of origin of the system of floating courses of national currencies (since March 1973). Importers and exporters and bank structures connected with them were forced to become the regular participants of currency market, as the changes of courses of currencies showed their financial performances both with positive and from a negative side... read more >>

Fundamental analysis

One of the most important and difficult constituents of currency-dealing is ability to conduct the analysis of tendencies of change of market, and, accordingly, guess, which factors and how will influence the courses of currencies. Main prices stopped up as possibilities of rapid receipt of income, so reverse are the possibilities of rapid and considerable losses. Therefore, correct prognostication of motions of market, estimation of one or another events, and also manipulation by information and expectations are necessary components as a part of work for a broker or a dealer.

Within the framework of fundamental analysis different reports about currency-financial events in the world are studied, phenomenon of political and economic life, both separate countries and world association on the whole, which can provide influence on currency market development, are analyzed. The analysis is conducted, to what change in the courses of currencies these facts and occasions can lead. Here goes also the important information about work of exchanges and about large companies of type of market-makers, registration rates of central banks economic course of government, possible changes in political life of country, and also various informational subjects and expectations are taken into consideration. Fundamental analysis is one of the most difficult parts - and at the same time, one of key parts of work at the currency market. Conducting the fundamental analysis is much more difficult, than some other type of analysis, as the same factors render under various conditions a different value to the market. In general, all fundamental factors are estimated from two basic points of view.

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01// As well as any market, FOREX has the participants: they are persons accomplishing transactions and intermediary operations. Central banks take part as members. The management by currency backlogs, conducting of currency interventions having influence on the level of exchange rate, is included in their function, and also adjusting of level of interest rates on the investments in national currency.

02// International corporations, carrying out foreign trade operations, companies participating in international trade is steady demand produced on foreign currency (in part of importers) and suggestion of currency (exporters), and also placed and attracted free currency tailings in short-term deposits. Thus these organizations of direct access to the currency market, as a rule, do not have and conduct conversion and deposit operations through commercial banks.

03// Functioning of currency markets is not halted not even for a minute. In calendar days they start working at Far East, in New Zealand (Wellington), passing time zones consistently - in Sidney, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore, Moscow, Frankfurt-on-Mein, London and finishing day in New York and Los Angeles. Counting out of time zones is conducted from a zero-meridian passing through Greenwich (suburb of London), and time carries the name of world or GMT - Greenwich Mean Time.

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